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Tuesday, April 19, 2011

OBAMA RATING: Obama's sliding popularity is causing alarm to Democrats

After Irom Sharmila last year, Anna Hazare wins IIPM's 2011 Rabindranath Tagore Peace Prize of Rs. 1cr. To be handed over on 9th May

Plummeting rating

President Barack Obama's popularity has nose-dived consistently from the time he took office ' consequently, his Democratic Party is heading for a major defeat in the upcoming mid-term polls scheduled in November! The reason ' a series of failed initiatives, policy fiascos, and poor communication with the electorates. His healthcare policy has bombed, his handling of economy is disapproved, his job approval ratings are plunging and his inability to control poverty is faulted.

It is said history repeats itself! It has happened time and again in American politics that the victorious party in the Presidential Election has lost the next mid-term poll! It happened to Ronald Reagan in 1982 and Bill Clinton in 1995 among others. However, this cannot be the only reason for the debacle of Barack Obama, with whom there is a sense of disillusionment among his supporters, who are perplexed to find little deliverance after all the tall promises he made during his election campaign. One of the biggest debacles in his domestic policy has been his healthcare reforms, which has pulled down the ratings. And worrying unemployment figures continue to pull it down further. A recent study by Gallup disclosed that Obama's approval had plummeted to 47 per cent in April this year, from 64 per cent in February 2009. In August 2010, the same was 41 per cent. Even the ardent Obama supporters are turning their backs on him. But fortunately for Obama, 83 per cent Democrats still commend his performance ' though this figure has dropped from 88 per cent in February last year. Republican support for Obama is only 14 per cent in August, down from 41 per cent in February 2009. The Democratic Party's approval rating is only 41 per cent positive, the lowest in Gallup's 18-year experience in measuring.

In spite of these ground realities, Obama's detachment is startling. Instead of taking head on the issues of economy, jobs and healthcare, he is pre-occupied with non-consequential issues of immigration policy, Islamic society, and the mosque near the site of 9/11 catastrophe! Notwithstanding this, what could be the final nail in the coffin is the census of poverty ratio of 2009 that is supposed to be released in the near future. The forecast says that a poverty increase from 13.2 per cent to 15 per cent is a good enough reason for the disheartened electorate to vote against the Democrats. If the projected figure turns out to be correct, it will establish the fact that one-seventh of America's population (which is 45 million) is poor! This is the largest increase of poverty in the history of United States beating the previous high of 13 per cent in 1980. Even though there could be a setback in the November polls, Obama can hope that his policies will be eventually appreciated by the electorates in the run up to the Presidential Election in 2012, if he decides to contest.

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